Elections Intelligence

Scott Colom

MSU.S. Senate S architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
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What the Signal reads

Likely R

Colom is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Colom at 8.9¢ against Hyde-Smith's 91.5¢, down 2.1¢ since July 31. The polling average has Hyde-Smith ahead by 9.3 points, and Hyde-Smith leads 1.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Colom · Democratic contract
8.9¢
▼ 2.1¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Scott Colom by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 11¢ · low 6.4¢Oct 12
Scott ColomDemocratic
8.9¢
Cindy Hyde-SmithRepublican · incumbent
91.5¢

299,947 traded · 214,388 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Colom v Hyde-Smith

Metric by metric
Colom
Hyde-Smith
8.9¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
91.5¢
$2.38M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$3.83M
$847.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.54M
38%
Latest pollData for Progress, D sponsor · Aug 13
44%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Senatorsince 2018

The 2026 race

Mississippi U.S. Senate
Polling average
R+9.3

Average of 3 pollsters, June 22 to August 13.

Prior result
R+10.0

2020 general election, won by Cindy Hyde-Smith.

Fundraising
1.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.