Dan Barrios · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Barrios is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Barrios at 12¢ against Yarbrough's 89¢, down 9¢ since August 3. Yarbrough leads 8.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Barrios · Democratic contract

12.0¢

▼ 9.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Dan Barrios by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 26¢ · low 9.8¢Oct 12

Dan BarriosDemocratic

12.0¢

Jace YarbroughRepublican

89.0¢

29,385 traded · 14,507 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Barrios v Yarbrough

Metric by metric

Barrios

Yarbrough

12.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

89.0¢

$96.5K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$865.9K

$6.0K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$125.4K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 32nd District

Prior result

D+23.5

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Julie Johnson.

Fundraising

8.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.