Julia Letlow
LAWhat the Signal reads
Letlow is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Letlow at 94.1¢ against Davis's 5.7¢, down 0.7¢ since August 3. The polling average has Letlow ahead by 6 points, and Letlow leads 3.1 to 1 in money raised.
The market
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Julia Letlow by name.
93,833 traded · 52,305 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Letlow v Davis
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Louisiana U.S. SenateAverage of 2 pollsters, July 22 to September 19.
2020 general election, won by Bill Cassidy.
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.
THEIR SEAT WAS REDRAWNR+36.3 → R+34.0
Louisiana redrew its map after the U.S. Supreme Court struck down the previous one in Louisiana v. Callais on April 29, 2026. The new plan (SB 121) was signed on May 29, 2026. Its partisan lean barely changes (Trump +36.3 to Trump +34 in the 2024 presidential vote).