Colorado Governor — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market has run well past this seat's history — a 19-point Democratic hold in 2022, priced at 96.9¢ today.

Safe D

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Safe DD 96.9¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Prior result · Likely DD+19.35 in 2022.

Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 96.9¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

—

Tavern Research ↗ May 31 - Jun 1, 26 · D PRIMARY D+7 PARTISAN

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

D+19.35

Jared Polis / Dianne Primavera (D)

58.53 — 39.18 · 2022 general election

def. Heidi Ganahl / Danny Moore (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

2.3 to 1

Phil Weiser$7.26M

Victor Marx$3.11M

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 07-27 · STATE FILING

Total receipts this cycle.