Elections Intelligence

Kristina Knickerbocker

OH-10U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
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What the Signal reads

Likely R

Knickerbocker is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Knickerbocker at 15¢ against Turner's 86¢, up 4¢ since August 3. The polling average has Turner ahead by 8 points, and Turner leads 2.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Knickerbocker · Democratic contract
15.0¢
▲ 4.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kristina Knickerbocker by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 19¢ · low 11¢Oct 12
Kristina KnickerbockerDemocratic
15.0¢
Michael R. TurnerRepublican · incumbent
86.0¢

78,350 traded · 54,844 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Knickerbocker v Turner

Metric by metric
Knickerbocker
Turner
15.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
86.0¢
$362.7K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$894.6K
$125.2K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$556.3K
40%
Latest pollGSG, Knickerbocker sponsor · Jul 23
45%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2003

The 2026 race

Ohio 10th District
Polling average
R+8

Average of 2 pollsters, July 12 to July 23.

Prior result
R+18.4

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Michael R. Turner.

Fundraising
2.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.