Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / OHIO

Marcy Kaptur

Democratic · U.S. Representative, Ohio 9th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LEAN D KALSHI · 72¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · OHIO 9TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTDerek Merrin (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLean DAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27D 72¢ · R 30¢
LATEST POLL · STALER+4<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/731831/exclusive-gop-poll-finds-slight-edge-in-must-win-house-race/?unlock=D93XBJAGANOVA1YA" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">McLaughlin/NRCC ↗</a> 05-15 · n=400 · 104 days old
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+0.632024 general election margin — verified against official results
3:1fundraising ratio v Merrin · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$4.30Mraised
$3.49Mcash on hand
· Merrin: $1.51M / $531.2K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary05-05 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
D settled · R settled · L settled
Also on the ballot: Matthew Althaus (Libertarian)
COMPARE V MERRIN ⇄