Ashley Hinson
IAWhat the Signal reads
Toss-up
Hinson is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Hinson at 58¢ against Turek's 43¢, unchanged since July 31. The polling average has Turek ahead by 0.6 points, and Hinson leads 1.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Hinson · Republican contract
58.0¢
Unchangedsince July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Ashley Hinson by name.
4,829,532 traded · 3,003,295 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Hinson v Turek
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Iowa U.S. SenatePolling average
D+0.6
Average of 11 pollsters, September 16 to October 6.
Prior result
R+6.6
2020 general election, won by Joni Ernst.
Fundraising
1.6 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.