Jim Desmond
CA-48What the Signal reads
Likely D
Desmond is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Desmond at 8.1¢ against Wilpert's 92¢, down 3.9¢ since August 3. The polling average has Wilpert ahead by 6.6 points, and the two campaigns have raised about the same.
The market
Desmond · Republican contract
8.1¢
▼ 3.9¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Jim Desmond by name.
29,832 traded · 19,189 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Desmond v Wilpert
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
California 48th DistrictPolling average
D+6.6
Average of 2 pollsters, July 14 to October 7.
Prior result
R+18.6
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Darrell Issa.
Fundraising
1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.