West Virginia 2nd District — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 42-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 98¢ today.

Safe R

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Fundraising · Lean RR 9.87-to-1 in receipts.Market · Safe RR 98¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.Prior result · Safe RR+41.54 in 2024.

Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

R 98¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

—

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

R+41.54

Riley Moore (R)

70.77 — 29.23 · 2024 general election

def. Steven Wendelin (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

R 9.87 to 1

Ace Parsi$134.2K

Riley M. Moore$1.33M

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.