Christopher Backemeyer · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Lean R

Backemeyer is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Backemeyer at 19¢ against Flood's 83¢, up 8¢ since August 3. The polling average has Flood ahead by 3.2 points, and Flood leads 3.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Backemeyer · Democratic contract

19.0¢

▲ 8.0¢since August 3

Aug 342 daily readings · high 20¢ · low 8.3¢Oct 12

Christopher BackemeyerDemocratic

19.0¢

Mike FloodRepublican · incumbent

83.0¢

independent lineNo candidate is named on this contract.

1.0¢

28,994 traded · 13,111 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Backemeyer v Flood

Metric by metric

Backemeyer

Flood

19.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

83.0¢

$592.2K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$2.37M

$290.6K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$1.56M

49%

Latest pollGSG, Fight for Nebraska sponsor · Sep 2

45%

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2022

The 2026 race

Nebraska 1st District

Polling average

R+3.2

Average of 3 pollsters, May 11 to September 2.

Prior result

R+20.2

2024 general election, won by Mike Flood.

Fundraising

3.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.