Florida 25th District — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 9-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 71¢ today.

Lean D

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Polling · Likely DD+10 — Beacon Insights, Jul 6.Prior result · Lean DD+8.95 in 2024.Market · Lean DD 71¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.

Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 71¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

D+10

Beacon Insights ↗ May 1 - 2 · n=461 RV D+10 INDEPENDENT

Beacon Insights ↗ Early May · n=461 RV D+10 INDEPENDENT

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

D+8.95

Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D)

54.47 — 45.52 · 2024 general election

def. Chris Eddy (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

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Jared Moskowitz$3.00M

PULLED 08-24 · PERIOD 07-29 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.