Georgia 1st District
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Dylan Castillo (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 24-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 92.8¢ today.
Likely R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Fundraising · Lean RR 11.97-to-1 in receipts.Market · Likely RR 92.8¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.Prior result · Likely RR+23.97 in 2024.
Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 92.8¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
—
No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+23.97
Earl L. "Buddy" Carter (R)
61.98 — 38.02 · 2024 general election
def. Patti Hewitt (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
R 11.97 to 1
Amanda Hollowell$162.5K
James "Jim" Kingston$1.94M
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.