Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / MONTANA

Sam Forstag

Democratic · House challenger
CHALLENGER ON THE 2026 BALLOT TOSS-UP — AGAINST THE CANDIDATE KALSHI · 43¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · MONTANA 1ST DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTAaron Flint (R)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALToss-upAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 61¢ · D 43¢
LATEST POLLEVEN<a class="e-poll-source" href="https://x.com/JacobRubashkin/status/2071693706843799687?s=20" target="_blank" rel="noopener noreferrer">Impact Research ↗</a> (B) 06-30 · n=500
STANDING · THIS SEAT
1:1fundraising ratio v AARON · FEC period 06-10
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-22 · PERIOD 06-10
$1.38Mraised
$550.1Kcash on hand
committee not on file
· AARON: $1.30M / $502.2K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
R settled · D settled · L settled
Also on the ballot: Nick Sheedy (Libertarian)
COMPARE V FLINT ⇄