Elections Intelligence

Mark Teixeira

TX-21U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R to Safe R Strong favorite
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Teixeira is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Teixeira at 95.1¢ against Hook's 5.4¢, up 4.7¢ since August 3. Teixeira leads 16.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Teixeira · Republican contract
95.1¢
▲ 4.7¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mark Teixeira by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 95.4¢ · low 90.4¢Oct 12
Mark TeixeiraRepublican
95.1¢
Kristin HookDemocratic
5.4¢

10,924 traded · 7,303 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Teixeira v Hook

Metric by metric
Teixeira
Hook
95.1¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
5.4¢
$3.92M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$241.3K
$382.2K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$104.1K
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Texas 21st District
Prior result
R+25.8

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Chip Roy.

Fundraising
16.2 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.