The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 44-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 96¢ today.
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
David Scott (D)
71.83 — 28.17 · 2024 general election
def. Jonathan Chavez (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.