Elections Intelligence

Kevin Burge

TX-24U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Burge is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Burge at 7.5¢ against Duyne's 93.6¢, down 5.5¢ since August 3. Duyne leads 12.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Burge · Democratic contract
7.5¢
▼ 5.5¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kevin Burge by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 13¢ · low 7.5¢Oct 12
Kevin BurgeDemocratic
7.5¢
Beth Van DuyneRepublican · incumbent
93.6¢

27,792 traded · 17,404 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Burge v Duyne

Metric by metric
Burge
Duyne
7.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
93.6¢
$209.9K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.54M
$37.3K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.87M
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2021

The 2026 race

Texas 24th District
Prior result
R+20.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Beth Van Duyne.

Fundraising
12.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.