Elections Intelligence

Maryland 6th District

DEFENDED SEAT
SAFE D
THE NOVEMBER FIELD
Democratic — SETTLED
April McClain Delaney Democratic · Nominee
Green — SETTLED
ML Moshe Y. Landman Green · Nominee
Independent — SETTLED
CH Chris Hyser Independent · Nominee
Republican — SETTLED
Robin Ficker Republican · Nominee
INDEPENDENT — ON THE BALLOT
HK Hajra Kirmani Independent · Nominee
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market has run well past this seat's history — a 6-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 95¢ today.

Safe D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe DD 95¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold. Fundraising · Lean DD 30.47-to-1 in receipts. Prior result · Lean DD+6.33 in 2024.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 95¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+6.33

April McClain Delaney (D)

53.05 — 46.72 · 2024 general election

def. Neil Parrott (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
D 30.47 to 1
April McClain Delaney$12.31M
Robin Ficker$403.9K
Chris Hyser$0
Hajra Kirmani$26.9K

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 12-31 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 06-23 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 D settled · R settled · G settled · I settled