Elections Intelligence

Rebecca Bennett

NJ-7U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean D Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Bennett is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Bennett at 91.2¢ against Kean's 9.6¢, up 7.2¢ since August 3. The polling average has Bennett ahead by 4 points, and Kean leads 1.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Bennett · Democratic contract
91.2¢
▲ 7.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Rebecca Bennett by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 91.6¢ · low 72¢Oct 12
Rebecca BennettDemocratic
91.2¢
Thomas H. Kean, Jr.Republican · incumbent
9.6¢

211,915 traded · 90,014 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Bennett v Kean

Metric by metric
Bennett
Kean
91.2¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
9.6¢
$4.27M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$4.89M
$1.45M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$3.63M
47%
Latest pollStimsight Research · Sep 12
42%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

New Jersey 7th District
Polling average
D+4

Average of 2 pollsters, May 26 to September 12.

Prior result
R+3.4

2024 general election, won by Thomas H. Kean, Jr..

Fundraising
1.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.