Elections Intelligence

Pete Ricketts

NEU.S. Senate S architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe R to Lean RThe seat Favored
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What the Signal reads

Lean R

Ricketts is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Ricketts at 74¢ against Osborn's 28¢, up 3¢ since July 31. The polling average has Ricketts ahead by 1 point, and Ricketts leads 1.9 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Ricketts · Republican contract
74.0¢
▲ 3.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Pete Ricketts by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 74¢ · low 68¢Oct 12
Pete RickettsRepublican · incumbent
74.0¢
Dan Osbornindependent
28.0¢
Mike Marvinother
no contract on this candidate in the market

2,443,705 traded · 1,382,879 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Ricketts v Osborn

Metric by metric
Ricketts
Osborn
74.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
28.0¢
$11.23M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$5.70M
$6.91M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.42M
47%
Latest pollYouGov · Oct 3
48%
U.S. Senatorsince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Nebraska U.S. Senate
Polling average
Ricketts +1

Average of 4 pollsters, September 13 to October 3.

Prior result
R+38.3

2020 general election, won by Ben Sasse.

Fundraising
1.9 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.