Chuong Vo · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely D

Vo is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has Vo at 9.3¢ against Tran's 92.7¢, down 1.7¢ since July 31. Tran leads 10 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Vo · Republican contract

9.3¢

▼ 1.7¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Chuong Vo by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 21¢ · low 7.2¢Oct 12

Chuong VoRepublican

9.3¢

Derek TranDemocratic · incumbent

92.7¢

101,560 traded · 75,261 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Vo v Tran

Metric by metric

Vo

Tran

9.3¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

92.7¢

$495.8K

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.98M

$74.9K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$3.26M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2025

The 2026 race

California 45th District

Prior result

D+0.2

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Derek Tran.

Fundraising

10 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.