New York Attorney General — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market and the latest general-election poll carry this seat — New York has no verified prior result on file.

Likely D

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Market · Likely DD 93.5¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Polling · Likely DD+18 — Siena College, Aug 6.

Signal clarityHighas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

D 93.5¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

D+18

Siena College ↗ 2026-08-03 to 2026-08-06 · n=811 LV D+18 PARTISAN

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

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No verified prior result

The last general election in this seat has not been imported from an official state canvass, so the signal has no baseline.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

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Letitia James$2.65M

Saritha Komatireddy$267.8K

PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 07-11 · STATE FILING

Cash on hand at the period end, not money raised.