Michael Alfonso · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Alfonso is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Alfonso at 95.8¢ against Clark's 5.9¢, up 4.2¢ since August 3. Alfonso leads 3.1 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Alfonso · Republican contract

95.8¢

▲ 4.2¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Michael Alfonso by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.4¢ · low 91.6¢Oct 12

Michael AlfonsoRepublican

95.8¢

Fred ClarkDemocratic

5.9¢

10,747 traded · 5,635 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Alfonso v Clark

Metric by metric

Alfonso

Clark

95.8¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

5.9¢

$1.35M

RaisedFEC, through July 22

$423.0K

$663.4K

Cash on handFEC, through July 22

$174.0K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Wisconsin 7th District

Prior result

R+27.2

2024 general election, won by Thomas P. Tiffany.

Fundraising

3.1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.