Roger Marshall
KSWhat the Signal reads
Toss-up
Marshall is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Marshall at 63¢ against Hamilton's 39¢, down 22¢ since July 31. The polling average has Hamilton ahead by 1.9 points, and the two campaigns have raised about the same.
The market
Marshall · Republican contract
63.0¢
▼ 22.0¢since July 31
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Roger Marshall by name.
3,323,552 traded · 2,403,701 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Marshall v Hamilton
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Kansas U.S. SenatePolling average
D+1.9
Average of 8 pollsters, September 16 to October 10.
Prior result
R+11.4
2020 general election, won by Roger Marshall.
Fundraising
1 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 15.