Elections Intelligence

Troy Jackson

MEU.S. Senate S architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean D to Toss-up Competitive
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Toss-up

Jackson is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Jackson at 58¢ against Collins's 43¢, down 6¢ since July 31. The polling average has Jackson ahead by 1.7 points.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Jackson · Democratic contract
58.0¢
▼ 6.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Troy Jackson by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 73¢ · low 56¢Oct 12
Troy JacksonDemocratic
58.0¢
Susan M. CollinsRepublican · incumbent
43.0¢

8,545,431 traded · 3,386,422 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Jackson v Collins

Metric by metric
Jackson
Collins
58.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
43.0¢
No total for Troy Jackson: no report covering this period is on file with the Federal Election Commission.
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$16.17M
—
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$11.04M
50%
Latest pollWash. Post/Schar · Oct 5
46%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Senatorsince 1997

The 2026 race

Maine U.S. Senate
Polling average
D+1.7

Average of 13 pollsters, September 14 to October 5.

Prior result
R+8.6

2020 general election, won by Susan M. Collins.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.