Elections Intelligence

Fredrick Love

ARGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Love is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Love at 4.3¢ against Sanders's 98.2¢, up 1.9¢ since July 31. The polling average has Sanders ahead by 5 points, and Sanders leads 27.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Love · Democratic contract
4.3¢
▲ 1.9¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Fredrick Love by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 6.4¢ · low 2.4¢Oct 12
Fredrick LoveDemocratic
4.3¢
Sarah Huckabee SandersRepublican · incumbent
98.2¢

6,891 traded · 4,382 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Love v Sanders

Metric by metric
Love
Sanders
4.3¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
98.2¢
$237.1K
RaisedState filings, through August 31
$6.59M
$207
Cash on handState filings, through August 31
$4.37M
40%
Latest pollHendrix College · Aug 12
45%
No office on file
Holds now
Governor of Arkansassince 2023

The 2026 race

Arkansas Governor
Latest poll
R+5

Hendrix College, August 12.

Prior result
R+27.8

2022 general election, won by Sarah Huckabee Sanders.

Fundraising
27.7 to 1

Raised, through August 31.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.