Elections Intelligence

Cindy Hyde-Smith

MSU.S. Senate S architectural icon
INCUMBENT Likely R Likely to win
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What the Signal reads

Likely R

Hyde-Smith is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Hyde-Smith at 91.5¢ against Colom's 8.9¢, down 1.5¢ since July 31. The polling average has Hyde-Smith ahead by 9.3 points, and Hyde-Smith leads 1.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hyde-Smith · Republican contract
91.5¢
▼ 1.5¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Cindy Hyde-Smith by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 94.5¢ · low 90.1¢Oct 12
Cindy Hyde-SmithRepublican · incumbent
91.5¢
Scott ColomDemocratic
8.9¢

299,947 traded · 214,388 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hyde-Smith v Colom

Metric by metric
Hyde-Smith
Colom
91.5¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
8.9¢
$3.83M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.38M
$2.54M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$847.0K
44%
Latest pollData for Progress, D sponsor · Aug 13
38%
U.S. Senatorsince 2018
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Mississippi U.S. Senate
Polling average
R+9.3

Average of 3 pollsters, June 22 to August 13.

Prior result
R+10.0

2020 general election, won by Cindy Hyde-Smith.

Fundraising
1.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.