Florida 24th District
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Andy Daro (I) and Patricia Gonzalez (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 36-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 99.9¢ today.
Safe D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe DD 99.9¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Prior result · Safe DD+36.4 in 2024.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 99.9¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
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No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+36.4
Frederica S. Wilson (D)
68.2 — 31.8 · 2024 general election
def. Jesus Navarro (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
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PULLED 08-24 · PERIOD 07-29 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.