Mark Tedford · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Tedford is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Tedford at 98¢ against Croisant's 2.9¢, up 10¢ since August 3. Tedford leads 12.4 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Tedford · Republican contract

98.0¢

▲ 10.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Mark Tedford by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 98¢ · low 88¢Oct 12

Mark TedfordRepublican

98.0¢

John CroisantDemocratic

2.9¢

7,080 traded · 3,375 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Tedford v Croisant

Metric by metric

Tedford

Croisant

98.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

2.9¢

$1.76M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$142.0K

$173.7K

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$36.6K

No office on file

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

Oklahoma 1st District

Prior result

R+25.9

2024 general election, won by Kevin Hern.

Fundraising

12.4 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.