Marty O'Donnell · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely D

O'Donnell is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely D. The market has O'Donnell at 6.2¢ against Lee's 95.4¢, down 7.8¢ since August 3. The two campaigns have raised about the same.

The market

Kalshi ↗

O'Donnell · Republican contract

6.2¢

▼ 7.8¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Marty O'Donnell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 14¢ · low 6¢Oct 12

Marty O'DonnellRepublican

6.2¢

Susie LeeDemocratic · incumbent

95.4¢

16,337 traded · 9,816 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

O'Donnell v Lee

Metric by metric

O'Donnell

Lee

6.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

95.4¢

$4.04M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$4.40M

$2.41M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$3.69M

No office on file

Holds now

U.S. Representativesince 2019

The 2026 race

Nevada 3rd District

Prior result

D+2.7

2024 general election, won by Susie Lee.

Fundraising

1 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.