Andrew R. Garbarino · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Garbarino is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Garbarino at 87¢ against Halpin's 14¢, down 1¢ since August 3. Garbarino leads 7.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Garbarino · Republican contract

87.0¢

▼ 1.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Andrew R. Garbarino by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 91.9¢ · low 87¢Oct 12

Andrew R. GarbarinoRepublican · incumbent

87.0¢

Patrick HalpinDemocratic

14.0¢

16,562 traded · 11,007 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Garbarino v Halpin

Metric by metric

Garbarino

Halpin

87.0¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

14.0¢

$3.51M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$461.8K

$3.46M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$89.4K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 2nd District

Prior result

R+19.5

2024 general election, won by Andrew R. Garbarino.

Fundraising

7.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.