Lily Tang Williams — Elections Intelligence

WHAT THE SIGNAL READS ON WILLIAMS

THE SEAT THEY ARE IN

Safe D

Lily Tang Williams is a challenger in New Hampshire's 2nd district, a seat the band rates Safe D. The market prices their contract at 7.3¢ against Goodlander's 98.4¢, down 1.0¢ across 25 observation days; the latest public poll has them 15 points behind; and they are outraised 3.5:1 by Maggie Goodlander.

MARKET · PARTY WINNER Kalshi ↗

Lily Tang Williams · Republican · KXHOUSERACE-NH02-26-R

7.3¢

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Lily Tang Williams by name.

▼ 1.0¢

since Aug 3

2026-08-0325 observation days · high 11.0¢ · low 6.4¢2026-09-21

Lily Tang Williams Republican

7.3¢

Settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

Maggie Goodlander Democratic · incumbent

98.4¢

Settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on this candidate by name.

DEPTH ON THIS BOOK 7,885 traded · 3,325 open

Sides may not sum to 100. Prices are the yes ask. checked 1:29 AM ET

WILLIAMS AGAINST GOODLANDER · METRIC BY METRIC

Williams

Goodlander

MARKETchecked 1:29 AM ET

7.3¢

98.4¢

RAISED THIS CYCLEFederal Election Commission, through August 19, 2026

$1.20M

3.5:1 Maggie Goodlander's advantage

$4.16M

WHAT THEY HOLD NOW

Holds no office

Challenger

U.S. Representative

New Hampshire's 2nd district · since 2025 · defending it

POLL STANDINGSaint Anselm · (A-) · Aug 18 · n=701 LV

35%

15 points behind

Latest of eleven public polls

50%

Lily Tang Williams holds no seat, so no redraw applies to them.