Elections Intelligence

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

ARGovernor: G under a starred pediment
INCUMBENT Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Sanders is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Sanders at 98.2¢ against Love's 4.3¢, down 1.1¢ since July 31. The polling average has Sanders ahead by 5 points, and Sanders leads 27.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Sanders · Republican contract
98.2¢
▼ 1.1¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Sarah Huckabee Sanders by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 99.9¢ · low 97.4¢Oct 12
Sarah Huckabee SandersRepublican · incumbent
98.2¢
Fredrick LoveDemocratic
4.3¢

6,891 traded · 4,382 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Sanders v Love

Metric by metric
Sanders
Love
98.2¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
4.3¢
$6.59M
RaisedState filings, through August 31
$237.1K
$4.37M
Cash on handState filings, through August 31
$207
45%
Latest pollHendrix College · Aug 12
40%
Governor of Arkansassince 2023
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Arkansas Governor
Latest poll
R+5

Hendrix College, August 12.

Prior result
R+27.8

2022 general election, won by Sarah Huckabee Sanders.

Fundraising
27.7 to 1

Raised, through August 31.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.