Elections Intelligence

Texas 12th District

DEFENDED SEAT
SAFE R
Angela Rodriguez Prilliman Democratic · Challenger
KALSHI PARTY MARKETCHECKED Aug 27
REPUBLICAN 95.9¢
View market on Kalshi ↗
Craig A. Goldman Republican · Incumbent
FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 27-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 95.9¢ today.

Safe R
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Prior result · Safe RR+26.91 in 2024. Market · Safe RR 95.9¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
R 95.9¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
R+26.91

Craig Goldman (R)

63.45 — 36.55 · 2024 general election

def. Trey J. Hunt (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
Craig A. Goldman$1.76M

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.

BALLOT & DATES Primary 03-03 · HELDRunoff 05-26 · HELDGeneral Nov 3, 2026 R settled · D settled COMPARE THE CANDIDATES ⇄