Mitchell Berman
WI-1What the Signal reads
Lean R
Berman is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean R. The market has Berman at 36¢ against Steil's 64¢, unchanged since August 3. The polling average has Steil ahead by 3.3 points, and Steil leads 7.6 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Berman · Democratic contract
36.0¢
Unchangedsince August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Mitchell Berman by name.
75,606 traded · 67,136 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Berman v Steil
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Wisconsin 1st DistrictPolling average
R+3.3
Average of 3 pollsters, March 16 to October 1.
Prior result
R+10.2
2024 general election, won by Bryan Steil.
Fundraising
7.6 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 22.