Elections Intelligence

Eric Flores

TX-34U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean D Competitive underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Flores is the Republican challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Flores at 17¢ against Gonzalez's 85¢, down 12¢ since July 31. The polling average has Gonzalez ahead by 1.5 points, and Gonzalez leads 2.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Flores · Republican contract
17.0¢
▼ 12.0¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Eric Flores by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 34¢ · low 16¢Oct 12
Eric FloresRepublican
17.0¢
Vicente GonzalezDemocratic · incumbent
85.0¢

67,005 traded · 36,869 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Flores v Gonzalez

Metric by metric
Flores
Gonzalez
17.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
85.0¢
$1.41M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$3.77M
$1.4K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.53M
42%
Latest pollTSU - B. Jordan · Aug 22
45%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2017

The 2026 race

Texas 34th District
Polling average
D+1.5

Average of 3 pollsters, April 29 to August 22.

Prior result
D+2.6

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Vicente Gonzalez.

Fundraising
2.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.