Elections Intelligence

Denise Powell

NE-2U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Lean D Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Powell is the Democratic nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Powell at 93.6¢ against Harding's 8.1¢, up 6.6¢ since August 3. The polling average has Powell ahead by 3.8 points, and Powell leads 1.3 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Powell · Democratic contract
93.6¢
▲ 6.6¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Denise Powell by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 94¢ · low 87¢Oct 12
Denise PowellDemocratic
93.6¢
Brinker HardingRepublican
8.1¢

69,880 traded · 50,601 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Powell v Harding

Metric by metric
Powell
Harding
93.6¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
8.1¢
$2.67M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$2.03M
$997.4K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$1.07M
45.6%
Latest pollSurveyUSA · Sep 13
41.8%
No office on file
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Nebraska 2nd District
Latest poll
D+3.8

SurveyUSA, September 13.

Prior result
R+1.9

2024 general election, won by Don Bacon.

Fundraising
1.3 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.