Elections Intelligence

Bobby Pulido

TX-15U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Toss-up to Lean D Favored
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Lean D

Pulido is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Lean D. The market has Pulido at 84¢ against Cruz's 17¢, up 23¢ since August 3. The polling average has Pulido ahead by 5.3 points, and Cruz leads 1.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Pulido · Democratic contract
84.0¢
▲ 23.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Bobby Pulido by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 84¢ · low 52¢Oct 12
Bobby PulidoDemocratic
84.0¢
Monica De La CruzRepublican · incumbent
17.0¢

2,360,313 traded · 1,738,203 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Pulido v Cruz

Metric by metric
Pulido
Cruz
84.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
17.0¢
$2.96M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$5.27M
$1.16M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.46M
54%
Latest pollNormington Petts, D sponsor · Sep 28
41%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2023

The 2026 race

Texas 15th District
Polling average
D+5.3

Average of 3 pollsters, May 25 to September 28.

Prior result
R+14.2

2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Monica De La Cruz.

Fundraising
1.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.