Indiana 2nd District — Elections Intelligence

FTP RACE SIGNAL

The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 28-point Republican hold in 2024, priced at 95.5¢ today.

Safe R

SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R

Fundraising · Lean RR 14.75-to-1 in receipts.Market · Safe RR 95.5¢ — traders' price for a Republican hold.Prior result · Safe RR+28.13 in 2024.

Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27

MARKET BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above

R 95.5¢

Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27

POLLING BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above

—

No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.

PRIOR RESULT BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above

R+28.13

Rudy Yakym III (R)

62.74 — 34.61 · 2024 general election

def. Lori A. Camp (D). Margin verified against retrieved official results.

FUNDRAISING BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above

R 14.75 to 1

Jamee Decio$355.6K

Rudy Yakym III$5.25M

PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC

Total receipts this cycle.