Elections Intelligence

Kimberly Hardy

NC-7U.S. House H architectural icon
CHALLENGER Likely R Underdog
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Hardy is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Hardy at 14¢ against Rouzer's 87¢, unchanged since August 3. The polling average has Rouzer ahead by 6 points, and Rouzer leads 6.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hardy · Democratic contract
14.0¢
Unchangedsince August 3

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Kimberly Hardy by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 18¢ · low 14¢Oct 12
Kimberly HardyDemocratic
14.0¢
David RouzerRepublican · incumbent
87.0¢

8,439 traded · 4,982 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hardy v Rouzer

Metric by metric
Hardy
Rouzer
14.0¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
87.0¢
$293.8K
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$1.99M
$65.0K
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$2.30M
43%
Latest pollPPP, D-leaning firm · Aug 20
49%
No office on file
Holds now
U.S. Representativesince 2015

The 2026 race

North Carolina 7th District
Latest poll
R+6

PPP, D-leaning firm, August 20.

Prior result
R+17.2

2024 general election, won by David Rouzer.

Fundraising
6.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.