Elections Intelligence
PROFILES / U.S. HOUSE / CALIFORNIA

Tom McClintock

Republican · U.S. Representative, California 5th District · seeking another term · first took office 2025-01-03
INCUMBENT ON THE 2026 BALLOT LIKELY R KALSHI · 94.4¢ · CHECKED Aug 27
THE 2026 RACE · CALIFORNIA 5TH DISTRICTFull race page →
OPPONENTMichael Masuda (D)Challenger
FTP RACE SIGNALLikely RAI-enabled synthesis of attributed evidence · not a publisher rating
KALSHI · Aug 27R 94.4¢ · D 7.2¢
LATEST POLLNot yet collectedno qualifying public poll retrieved for this race
STANDING · THIS SEAT
+23.62024 general election margin — verified against official results
3:1fundraising ratio v Masuda · FEC period 06-30
CAMPAIGN FINANCE · FECPULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30
$928.8Kraised
$201.5Kcash on hand
· Masuda: $361.7K / $89.5K CoH
BALLOT & DATES
Top-two primary06-02 · HELD
GeneralNov 3, 2026
Top-two field settled · both advancers on the November ballot
COMPARE V MASUDA ⇄