Nicole Malliotakis · Elections Intelligence

What the Signal reads

Safe R

Malliotakis is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe R. The market has Malliotakis at 95.2¢ against DeCillis's 5.7¢, up 2¢ since August 3. Malliotakis leads 40.6 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗

Malliotakis · Republican contract

95.2¢

▲ 2.0¢since August 3

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Nicole Malliotakis by name.

Aug 342 daily readings · high 97.7¢ · low 93.2¢Oct 12

Nicole MalliotakisRepublican · incumbent

95.2¢

Mike DeCillisDemocratic

5.7¢

28,289 traded · 13,810 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Malliotakis v DeCillis

Metric by metric

Malliotakis

DeCillis

95.2¢

MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET

5.7¢

$2.75M

RaisedFEC, through June 30

$67.6K

$2.77M

Cash on handFEC, through June 30

$35.3K

U.S. Representativesince 2021

Holds now

No office on file

The 2026 race

New York 11th District

Prior result

R+28.1

2024 general election, won by Nicole Malliotakis.

Fundraising

40.6 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.