Nate Willems
IAWhat the Signal reads
Toss-up
Willems is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Willems at 45¢ against Bird's 56¢, down 1¢ since August 3. The polling average has Willems ahead by 2.5 points, and the two campaigns have raised about the same.
The market
Willems · Democratic contract
45.0¢
▼ 1.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Nate Willems by name.
33,419 traded · 10,241 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Willems v Bird
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Iowa Attorney GeneralLatest poll
D+2.5
Cygnal, Iowans for Tax Relief Foundation sponsor, September 11.
Prior result
R+1.7
2022 general election, won by Brenna Bird.
Fundraising
1 to 1
Raised, through July 14.