Dan Schwartz
MD-1What the Signal reads
Likely R
Schwartz is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Schwartz at 9.5¢ against Harris's 92.7¢, down 2.5¢ since August 3. The polling average has Harris ahead by 15 points, and Harris leads 3.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Schwartz · Democratic contract
9.5¢
▼ 2.5¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Dan Schwartz by name.
29,939 traded · 12,574 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Schwartz v Harris
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Maryland 1st DistrictLatest poll
R+15
Z to A Research, D sponsor, July 27.
Prior result
R+22.0
2024 general election, won by Andy Harris.
Fundraising
3.3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.