Texas 7th District
DEFENDED SEAT
Also on the ballot: Espoir Ngabo (G).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market has run well past this seat's history — a 23-point Democratic hold in 2024, priced at 96¢ today.
Safe D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Safe DD 96¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Prior result · Likely DD+22.57 in 2024.Fundraising · Lean DD 18.62-to-1 in receipts.
Signal clarityMediumas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 96¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
—
No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+22.57
Lizzie Fletcher (D)
61.28 — 38.72 · 2024 general election
def. Caroline Kane (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
D 18.62 to 1
Lizzie Fletcher$1.43M
Alexander Hale$76.6K
PULLED 08-04 · PERIOD 06-30 · FEC
Total receipts this cycle.