Elections Intelligence

John W. Hickenlooper

COU.S. Senate S architectural icon
INCUMBENT Safe D Strong favorite
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What the Signal reads

Safe D

Hickenlooper is the Democratic incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Safe D. The market has Hickenlooper at 98.7¢ against Baisley's 1.2¢, up 2.2¢ since July 31. Hickenlooper leads 58.7 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Hickenlooper · Democratic contract
98.7¢
▲ 2.2¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on John W. Hickenlooper by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 99.8¢ · low 96¢Oct 12
John W. HickenlooperDemocratic · incumbent
98.7¢
Mark BaisleyRepublican
1.2¢

31,535 traded · 24,023 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Hickenlooper v Baisley

Metric by metric
Hickenlooper
Baisley
98.7¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
1.2¢
$8.12M
RaisedFEC, through June 30
$138.1K
$2.08M
Cash on handFEC, through June 30
$50.0K
U.S. Senatorsince 2021
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Colorado U.S. Senate
Latest poll
Hickenlooper +7

CO Comm. Res., May 28.

Prior result
D+9.3

2020 general election, won by John W. Hickenlooper.

Fundraising
58.7 to 1

Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.