Bob Harvie
PA-1What the Signal reads
Toss-up
Harvie is the Democratic challenger for a seat the Signal rates Toss-up. The market has Harvie at 37¢ against Fitzpatrick's 64¢, down 9¢ since August 3. The polling average has Fitzpatrick ahead by 2.5 points, and Fitzpatrick leads 3.3 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Harvie · Democratic contract
37.0¢
▼ 9.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Democrat holds the seat, not on Bob Harvie by name.
224,054 traded · 202,708 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Harvie v Fitzpatrick
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Pennsylvania 1st DistrictPolling average
R+2.5
Average of 3 pollsters, August 23 to October 8.
Prior result
R+12.8
2024 general election, won by Brian K. Fitzpatrick.
Fundraising
3.3 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.