Nicholas J. Begich III
AK-ALWhat the Signal reads
Likely R
Begich is the Republican incumbent, defending a seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market prices a Republican hold of the seat at 88¢, a price on the party and not on Begich. The polling average has Begich ahead by 8.5 points, and Begich leads 4 to 1 in money raised.
The market
No price is quoted on this candidate: no contract on this candidate in the market.
67,909 traded · 27,032 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Begich v Hill
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Alaska At-Large DistrictPolling average
Begich +8.5
Average of 3 pollsters, September 11 to October 3.
Prior result
R+2.4
2024 general election, won by Nicholas J. Begich III.
Fundraising
4 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through July 29.