Alex Mealer
TX-9What the Signal reads
Likely R
Mealer is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Mealer at 82¢ against Gutierrez's 20¢, up 1¢ since August 3. The polling average has Mealer ahead by 8 points, and Mealer leads 37.5 to 1 in money raised.
The market
Mealer · Republican contract
82.0¢
▲ 1.0¢since August 3
This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Alex Mealer by name.
23,799 traded · 14,903 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET
Mealer v Gutierrez
Metric by metricThe 2026 race
Texas 9th DistrictLatest poll
R+8
PPP, Gutierrez sponsor, September 19.
Prior result
D+100.0
2024 general election · previous district lines, won by Al Green.
Fundraising
37.5 to 1
Raised 2025 to 2026, through June 30.