Michigan Attorney General
OPEN SEAT
Also on the ballot: Jason Dye (L), John Ludtke (other) and Jeff Polonowski (other).
FTP RACE SIGNAL
The market prices this seat about where its history left it — a 9-point Democratic hold in 2022, priced at 78¢ today.
Lean D
SAFE DLIKELY DLEAN DTOSS-UPLEAN RLIKELY RSAFE R
Market · Lean DD 78¢ — traders' price for a Democratic hold.Prior result · Lean DD+8.6 in 2022.
Signal clarityLow — no pollingas of 2026-08-27
MARKET
BandPRICEToss-up50–65¢Lean65–82¢Likely82–95¢Safe95¢ and above
D 78¢
Kalshi party market · checked Aug 27
View market on Kalshi ↗
POLLING
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–10Likely10–20Safe20 and above
—
No qualifying general-election poll has been retrieved for this race.
PRIOR RESULT
BandPOINTSToss-up0–5Lean5–12Likely12–25Safe25 and above
D+8.6
Dana Nessel (D)
53.2 — 44.6 · 2022 general election
def. Matthew DePerno (R). Margin verified against retrieved official results.
FUNDRAISING
BandRATIO TO 1Parity1–5Lean5 and above
3.6 to 1
Eli Savit$1.28M
Doug Lloyd$355.2K
PULLED 08-19 · PERIOD 08-13 · STATE FILING
Total receipts this cycle.