Elections Intelligence

Tommy Tuberville

ALGovernor: G under a starred pediment
CHALLENGER Likely R Likely to win
Full race page →

What the Signal reads

Likely R

Tuberville is the Republican nominee for an open seat the Signal rates Likely R. The market has Tuberville at 94.6¢ against Jones's 6.1¢, up 2.6¢ since July 31. The polling average has Tuberville ahead by 13 points, and Tuberville leads 62.2 to 1 in money raised.

The market

Kalshi ↗
Tuberville · Republican contract
94.6¢
▲ 2.6¢since July 31

This contract settles on whether a Republican holds the seat, not on Tommy Tuberville by name.

Jul 3148 daily readings · high 95.6¢ · low 90.1¢Oct 12
Tommy TubervilleRepublican
94.6¢
Doug JonesDemocratic
6.1¢

140,422 traded · 101,159 open. Prices are the yes ask; sides may not sum to 100.Checked 2:09 PM ET

Tuberville v Jones

Metric by metric
Tuberville
Jones
94.6¢
MarketKalshi, 2:09 PM ET
6.1¢
$16.10M
RaisedState filings, through September 30 and October 9
$258.6K
$6.56M
Cash on handState filings, through September 30 and October 9
$1.16M
50%
Latest pollRMG Research, R sponsor · Sep 25
37%
U.S. Senatorsince 2021
Holds now
No office on file

The 2026 race

Alabama Governor
Polling average
R+13

Average of 3 pollsters, November 13 to September 25.

Prior result
R+37.7

2022 general election, won by Kay Ivey.

Fundraising
62.2 to 1

Raised, through October 9.

The general election is on November 3, which is 22 days away.